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Rain, Emotions and Voting for the Status Quo

Meier, Amando N. and Schmid, Lukas and Stutzer, Alois. (2019) Rain, Emotions and Voting for the Status Quo. WWZ Working Paper, 2019 (15). Basel.

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Official URL: https://edoc.unibas.ch/71791/

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Abstract

Do emotions aect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 870,000 municipal vote outcomes in Switzerland to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative ballot outcomes and individual postvote survey data. We find that rain decreases the share of votes for political change. Our robustness checks suggest that this finding is not driven by changes in the composition of the electorate and changes in information acquisition. In addition, we provide evidence that rain might have altered the outcome of several high-stake votes. We discuss the psychological mechanism and document that rain reduces the willingness to take risks, a pattern that is consistent with the observed reduction in the support for change.
Faculties and Departments:06 Faculty of Business and Economics > Departement Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Professuren Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Politische ├ľkonomie (Stutzer)
12 Special Collections > WWZ Publications > WWZ Discussion Papers and Working Papers
UniBasel Contributors:Meier, Armando Nicolas and Schmid, Lukas and Stutzer, Alois
Item Type:Working Paper
Publisher:WWZ
Number of Pages:74
Note:Publication type according to Uni Basel Research Database: Discussion paper / Internet publication
Language:English
Identification Number:
  • handle: RePEc:bsl:wpaper:2019/15
Last Modified:30 Aug 2019 08:43
Deposited On:30 Aug 2019 08:43

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