The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. and Scovronick, N. and Sera, F. and Royé, D. and Schneider, R. and Tobias, A. and Astrom, C. and Guo, Y. and Honda, Y. and Hondula, D. M. and Abrutzky, R. and Tong, R. and de Sousa Zanotti Stagliori Coelho, M. and Nascimento Saldiva, P. H. and Lavigne, E. and Matus Correa, P. and Valdes Ortega, N. and Kan, H. and Osorio, S. and Kyselý, J. and Urban, A. and Orru, H. and Indermitte, E. and Jaakkola, J. J. K. and Ryti, N. and Pascal, M. and Schneider, A. and Katsouyanni, K. and Samoli, E. and Mayvaneh, F. and Entezari, A. and Goodman, P. and Zeka, A. and Michelozzi, P. and de Donato, F. and Hashizume, M. and Alahmad, B. and Hurtado Diaz, M. and De la Cruz Valencia, C. and Seposo, X. and Silva, S. and Madureira, J. and Holobaca, I. and Fratianni, S. and Acquaotta, F. and Kim, H. and Lee, W. and Iniguez, C. and Forsberg, B. and Ragettli, M. S. and Guo, Y. L. L. and Chen, B. Y. and Li, S. and Armstrong, B. and Aleman, A. and Zanobetti, A. and Schwartz, J. and Dang, T. N. and Dung, D. V. and Gillett, N. and Haines, A. and Mengel, M. and Huber, V. and Gasparrini, A.. (2021) The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change. Nat Clim Chang, 11 (6). pp. 492-500.

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Official URL: https://edoc.unibas.ch/89639/

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Abstract

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

Faculties and Departments:	09 Associated Institutions > Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH) 09 Associated Institutions > Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH) > Department of Epidemiology and Public Health (EPH) > Environmental Exposures and Health Systems Research > Physical Hazards and Health (Röösli)
UniBasel Contributors:	Ragettli, Martina
Item Type:	Article, refereed
Article Subtype:	Research Article
Note:	Publication type according to Uni Basel Research Database: Journal article
Identification Number:	doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x pmid: 34221128
Last Modified:	21 Dec 2022 14:22
Deposited On:	21 Dec 2022 14:22

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